Tuesday, December 26, 2006
College Bowl Season: Free Daily Picks
Motor City Bowl: Central Michigan -7.5 vs Middle Tennessee State. Over/under 51.5.
Both of these teams have actually played some decent competition this year, unfortunately they haven't done very well against them. The MAC is a very underrated conference year in and year out, but don't get caught in the bias because they're on ESPN more than the Sun Belt Conference (Troy narrowly beat MTSU in the championship game, so you know MTSU isn't junk).
That said, I'm going to point to one statistic for this one. MTSU only averages 145.7 yards passing per game. That tells me that they're just too one-dimensional for me. This line opened at CMU -11 and moved nearly 4 points. Don't get caught up in the public opinion on this one, today's play is on the Chippewas laying the 7.5. Even if the line is 8, we still go with CMU.
Gun to head over/under, play the Under.